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FTMatchday 29

Bournemouth vs Brentford: Prediction

📍 Vitality Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
BournemouthBrentford
  1. 21'Rico Henryon
  2. 60'Mathias Jensenyellow card
  3. 62'Jordan Hendersonon
  4. Rayanon74'
  5. Ryan Christieon74'
  6. Evanilsonon80'
  7. 87'Dango Ouattaraon
  8. Marcus Tavernieryellow card90'
  9. Tyler Adamsyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BournemouthBrentford
  • 48%Possession52%
  • 1.92Expected goals (xG)0.40
  • 13Shots5
  • 2Shots on target2
  • 4Corners3
  • 9Fouls10
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides0
  • 2Saves2
  • 413Passes454

Line-ups

Bournemouth

  • 10Ryan Christie
  • 12Tyler Adams
  • 5Marcos Senesi
  • 9Evanilson
  • 3Adrien Truffert
  • 16Marcus Tavernier
  • 23James Hill
  • 8Alex Scott
  • 1Đorđe Petrović
  • 20Álex Jiménez
  • 37Rayan

Brentford

  • 6Jordan Henderson
  • 3Rico Henry
  • 4Sepp van den Berg
  • 1Caoimhín Kelleher
  • 24Mikkel Damsgaard
  • 8Mathias Jensen
  • 22Nathan Michael Collins
  • 7Kevin Schade
  • 19Dango Ouattara
  • 33Michael Kayode
  • 9Igor Thiago

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1541

Recent form

BournemouthWDWDD
BrentfordWWDLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Bournemouth38+457
2Brentford38+353

Head to head

  • Bournemouth 2–2 Brentford2026-09-12
  • Brentford 4–1 Bournemouth2025-12-27
  • Bournemouth 0–2 Brentford2025-08-26

Match preview

Bournemouth host Brentford in the Premier League on 3 March 2026. Bournemouth sit 6th on 57 points and Brentford are 9th on 53. Bournemouth have won 2 of their last 5 (WDWDD), while Brentford have won 3 of 5 (WWDLW). In their last 3 meetings, Bournemouth won 0, Brentford won 2 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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