Kick-off · Sat, 2 Jan, 11:00 pm ISTMatchday 19
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: Prediction
Bournemouth48%Home win
Aston Villa48% Home win24% Draw28% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.64 – 1.20
Team rating (Elo)1531 – 1522
Recent form
BournemouthDLLWWAston VillaLWDWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 8 | -3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 8 | -1 | 9 |
Head to head
- Bournemouth 1–1 Aston Villa2026-02-07
- Aston Villa 4–0 Bournemouth2025-11-09
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
