FTMatchday 25

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: Prediction

📍 Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth1

Aston Villa1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

BournemouthAston Villa

22'Morgan Rogersassist Jadon Sancho
Álex Jiménezyellow card35'
35'Emiliano Buendiayellow card
Rayanassist James Hill55'
Eli Junior Kroupion65'
66'Emiliano Buendiaon
77'Jadon Sanchoon
77'Douglas Luizon
Álex Jiménezon86'
86'Ollie Watkinson
86'Lucas Digneon
Rayanon87'
Evanilsonon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BournemouthAston Villa

53%Possession47%
2.31Expected goals (xG)0.44
20Shots7
9Shots on target4
11Corners4
4Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Offsides3
3Saves7
413Passes388

Line-ups

Bournemouth

4Lewis Cook
5Marcos Senesi
9Evanilson
3Adrien Truffert
21Amine Adli
23James Hill
8Alex Scott
1Đorđe Petrović
22Eli Junior Kroupi
20Álex Jiménez
37Rayan

Aston Villa

23Emiliano Martinez
5Tyrone Mings
10Emiliano Buendia
12Lucas Digne
11Ollie Watkins
21Douglas Luiz
2Matty Cash
4Ezri Konsa
19Jadon Sancho
24Amadou Onana
27Morgan Rogers

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1526

Recent form

BournemouthLWDWW

Aston VillaWDLWL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Aston Villa	38	+7	65
2	Bournemouth	38	+4	57

Head to head

Aston Villa 4–0 Bournemouth2025-11-09

Match preview

Bournemouth host Aston Villa in the Premier League on 7 February 2026. Bournemouth sit 6th on 57 points and Aston Villa are 4th on 65. Bournemouth have won 3 of their last 5 (LWDWW), while Aston Villa have won 2 of 5 (WDLWL). In their last 1 meetings, Bournemouth won 0, Aston Villa won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.