FTMatchday 20

Bournemouth vs Arsenal: Prediction

📍 Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth2

Arsenal3

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals

BournemouthArsenal

Evanilson10'
16'Gabriel Magalhães
Antoine Semenyoyellow card26'
54'Declan Riceassist Martin Ødegaard
66'Viktor Gyökereson
David Brookson67'
67'Noni Maduekeon
67'Gabriel Martinellion
70'Martín Zubimendiyellow card
71'Declan Riceassist Bukayo Saka
Justin Kluiverton74'
Alex Scotton74'
Evanilsonon74'
Eli Junior Kroupiassist Lewis Cook76'
Eli Junior Kroupiyellow card80'
80'Martin Ødegaardon
Amine Adliyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BournemouthArsenal

43%Possession57%
1Expected goals (xG)1
15Shots12
3Shots on target5
7Corners5
13Fouls8
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides1
2Saves1
335Passes458

Line-ups

Bournemouth

7David Brooks
19Justin Kluivert
24Antoine Semenyo
5Marcos Senesi
9Evanilson
3Adrien Truffert
16Marcus Tavernier
23James Hill
8Alex Scott
1Đorđe Petrović
20Álex Jiménez

Arsenal

1David Raya
8Martin Ødegaard
41Declan Rice
11Gabriel Martinelli
20Noni Madueke
6Gabriel Magalhães
2William Saliba
12Jurrien Timber
36Martín Zubimendi
14Viktor Gyökeres
5Piero Hincapié

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1532

Recent form

BournemouthDDDLD

ArsenalLWWWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	38	+44	85
2	Bournemouth	38	+4	57

Head to head

Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth2026-04-11

Match preview

Bournemouth host Arsenal in the Premier League on 3 January 2026. Bournemouth sit 6th on 57 points and Arsenal are 1st on 85. Bournemouth have won 0 of their last 5 (DDDLD), while Arsenal have won 4 of 5 (LWWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Bournemouth won 1, Arsenal won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.