Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Werder Bremen: Prediction
📍 Stadion im Borussia-Park
Tipster consensus
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Recent form
Borussia MönchengladbachLLLWD
Werder BremenWDDWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Werder Bremen | 7 | +3 | 14 |
| 2 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | -6 | 4 |
Head to head
- Werder Bremen 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach2026-01-31
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–4 Werder Bremen2025-09-14
Why the model leans Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Close call: 40% Borussia Mönchengladbach, 24% draw, 36% Werder Bremen.
- Werder Bremen rate higher on our strength scale (1489 vs 1444).
- Borussia Mönchengladbach are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Head-to-head in our records: Borussia Mönchengladbach 0, Werder Bremen 1, draws 1.
- League table: Borussia Mönchengladbach #17, Werder Bremen #3.
Match preview
Borussia Mönchengladbach host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on 3 April 2027. Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 17th on 4 points and Werder Bremen are 3rd on 14. Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 of their last 5 (LLLWD), while Werder Bremen have won 3 of 5 (WDDWW). In their last 2 meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 0, Werder Bremen won 1 and 1 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Borussia Mönchengladbach 40%, the draw 24% and Werder Bremen 36%, so Borussia Mönchengladbach are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
