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Kick-off · Matchday 31

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Schalke 04: Prediction

📍 Stadion im Borussia-Park

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.73 – 1.39
Team rating (Elo)1444 – 1456

Recent form

Borussia MönchengladbachLLLWD
Schalke 04DLLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Borussia Mönchengladbach7-64
2Schalke 047-73

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Why the model leans Borussia Mönchengladbach

  • Borussia Mönchengladbach are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
  • Schalke 04 won 0 of their last 5.
  • Expected goals from the model: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.7, Schalke 04 1.4.

Match preview

Borussia Mönchengladbach host Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on 24 April 2027. Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 17th on 4 points and Schalke 04 are 18th on 3. Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 of their last 5 (LLLWD), while Schalke 04 have won 0 of 5 (DLLDL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Borussia Mönchengladbach 46%, the draw 23% and Schalke 04 31%, so Borussia Mönchengladbach are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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