Borussia Mönchengladbach vs RB Leipzig: Prediction
📍 Stadion im Borussia-Park
Tipster consensus
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Borussia MönchengladbachLLLWD
RB LeipzigWLLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB Leipzig | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 2 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | -6 | 4 |
Head to head
- RB Leipzig 3–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach2026-08-29
- RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach2026-04-11
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 RB Leipzig2025-11-28
Why the model leans RB Leipzig
- RB Leipzig rate higher on our strength scale (1482 vs 1444).
- RB Leipzig won 3 of their last 5.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Borussia Mönchengladbach 0, RB Leipzig 2, draws 1.
- League table: Borussia Mönchengladbach #17, RB Leipzig #6.
Match preview
Borussia Mönchengladbach host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 23 January 2027. Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 17th on 4 points and RB Leipzig are 6th on 12. Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 of their last 5 (LLLWD), while RB Leipzig have won 3 of 5 (WLLWW). In their last 3 meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 0, RB Leipzig won 2 and 1 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Borussia Mönchengladbach 29%, the draw 23% and RB Leipzig 48%, so RB Leipzig are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
