FTMatchday 30

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Mainz: Prediction

📍 Stadion im Borussia-Park

Borussia Mönchengladbach1

Mainz1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

Borussia MönchengladbachMainz

Joe Scallyassist Hugo Bolin7'
21'Dominik Kohryellow card
22'Anthony Caciyellow card
Hugo Bolinon66'
66'Sheraldo Beckeron
66'Nikolas Veratschnigon
Kevin Dikson71'
Kevin Stögeron72'
Jens Castropon72'
76'Anthony Cacion
76'Paul Nebelon
Haris Tabakovićyellow card82'
82'Danny da Costaon
Haris Tabakovićon87'
Yannik Engelhardtyellow card89'
Moritz Nicolasyellow card90'
Philipp Sanderyellow card90'
Nico Elvediyellow card90'
90'Nadiem Amiripenalty

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Borussia MönchengladbachMainz

38%Possession62%
0.62Expected goals (xG)2.32
9Shots17
4Shots on target7
0Corners6
12Fouls8
5Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Offsides2
6Saves3
366Passes588

Line-ups

Borussia Mönchengladbach

4Kevin Diks
7Kevin Stöger
30Nico Elvedi
27Rocco Reitz
33Moritz Nicolas
29Joe Scally
16Philipp Sander
15Haris Tabaković
17Jens Castrop
38Hugo Bolin
6Yannik Engelhardt

Mainz

31Dominik Kohr
21Danny da Costa
4Stefan Posch
10Nadiem Amiri
23Sheraldo Becker
19Anthony Caci
8Paul Nebel
20Phillip Tietz
22Nikolas Veratschnig
33Daniel Batz
6Kaishu Sano

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1444 – 1499

Recent form

Borussia MönchengladbachLWDDL

MainzDWWWL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Mainz	32	-8	39
2	Borussia Mönchengladbach	32	-12	35

Head to head

Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 Mainz2026-09-19
Mainz 0–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach2025-12-05

Match preview

Borussia Mönchengladbach host Mainz in the Bundesliga on 19 April 2026. Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th on 35 points and Mainz are 10th on 39. Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 of their last 5 (LWDDL), while Mainz have won 3 of 5 (DWWWL). In their last 2 meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1, Mainz won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.