Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Köln: Prediction
📍 Stadion im Borussia-Park
Tipster consensus
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Borussia MönchengladbachLLLWD
KölnLWLDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Köln | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 2 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | -6 | 4 |
Head to head
- Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach2026-10-11
- Köln 3–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach2026-03-21
Why the model leans Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Borussia Mönchengladbach are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Köln won 1 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Borussia Mönchengladbach 0, Köln 1, draws 1.
- League table: Borussia Mönchengladbach #17, Köln #13.
- Expected goals from the model: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.8, Köln 1.3.
Match preview
Borussia Mönchengladbach host Köln in the Bundesliga on 20 February 2027. Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 17th on 4 points and Köln are 13th on 8. Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 of their last 5 (LLLWD), while Köln have won 1 of 5 (LWLDD). In their last 2 meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 0, Köln won 1 and 1 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Borussia Mönchengladbach 48%, the draw 23% and Köln 29%, so Borussia Mönchengladbach are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
