Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction
📍 Stadion im Borussia-Park
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Borussia MönchengladbachLLLWD
Bayer LeverkusenWWWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | +2 | 12 |
| 2 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | -6 | 4 |
Head to head
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 Bayer Leverkusen2026-02-07
- Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach2025-09-21
Why the model leans Bayer Leverkusen
- Bayer Leverkusen rate higher on our strength scale (1506 vs 1444).
- Bayer Leverkusen won 3 of their last 5.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Borussia Mönchengladbach 0, Bayer Leverkusen 0, draws 2.
- League table: Borussia Mönchengladbach #17, Bayer Leverkusen #7.
Match preview
Borussia Mönchengladbach host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on 10 April 2027. Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 17th on 4 points and Bayer Leverkusen are 7th on 12. Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 of their last 5 (LLLWD), while Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 of 5 (WWWLL). In their last 2 meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 0, Bayer Leverkusen won 0 and 2 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Borussia Mönchengladbach 32%, the draw 24% and Bayer Leverkusen 44%, so Bayer Leverkusen are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
