Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Augsburg: Prediction
📍 Stadion im Borussia-Park
Tipster consensus
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Recent form
Borussia MönchengladbachLLLWD
AugsburgLDLDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augsburg | 7 | +3 | 8 |
| 2 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | -6 | 4 |
Head to head
- Augsburg 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach2026-05-09
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 Augsburg2026-01-11
Why the model leans Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Close call: 41% Borussia Mönchengladbach, 24% draw, 35% Augsburg.
- Augsburg rate higher on our strength scale (1487 vs 1444).
- Borussia Mönchengladbach are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Augsburg won 0 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1, Augsburg 1, draws 0.
Match preview
Borussia Mönchengladbach host Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 15 May 2027. Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 17th on 4 points and Augsburg are 12th on 8. Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 of their last 5 (LLLWD), while Augsburg have won 0 of 5 (LDLDL). In their last 2 meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1, Augsburg won 1 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Borussia Mönchengladbach 41%, the draw 24% and Augsburg 35%, so Borussia Mönchengladbach are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
