Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: Prediction
📍 Signal Iduna Park
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- ⚽Nico Schlotterbeckassist Julian Ryerson11'
- Niklas Suleyellow card22'
- ⇄Niklas Suleon46'
- Marcel Sabitzeryellow card54'
- ⇄Carney Chukwuemekaon67'
- ⇄Maximilian Beieron67'
- ⇄Julian Ryersonon67'
- 69'⇄Marco Grüllon
- ⚽Marcel Sabitzerassist Felix Nmecha76'
- 81'⇄Isaac Schmidton
- 81'⇄Justin Njinmahon
- 81'⇄Romano Schmidon
- ⚽Sehrou Guirassyassist Jobe Bellingham83'
- ⇄Fábio Silvaon84'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 46%Possession54%
- 2.02Expected goals (xG)0.33
- 18Shots5
- 8Shots on target3
- 3Corners3
- 14Fouls8
- 2Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides0
- 3Saves4
- 457Passes553
Line-ups
Borussia Dortmund
- 25Niklas Sule
- 20Marcel Sabitzer
- 4Nico Schlotterbeck
- 26Julian Ryerson
- 21Fábio Silva
- 1Gregor Kobel
- 3Waldemar Anton
- 8Felix Nmecha
- 14Maximilian Beier
- 17Carney Chukwuemeka
- 2Yan Couto
Werder Bremen
- 32Marco Friedl
- 3Yukinari Sugawara
- 5Amos Pieper
- 20Romano Schmid
- 17Marco Grüll
- 6Jens Stage
- 14Senne Lynen
- 11Justin Njinmah
- 30Mio Backhaus
- 23Isaac Schmidt
- 31Abdoul Coulibaly
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Borussia DortmundWWDWD
Werder BremenLDLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 32 | +36 | 71 |
| 2 | Werder Bremen | 32 | -23 | 29 |
Head to head
- Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen2026-10-09
- Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund2026-05-16
Match preview
Borussia Dortmund host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on 13 January 2026. Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd on 71 points and Werder Bremen are 16th on 29. Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of their last 5 (WWDWD), while Werder Bremen have won 0 of 5 (LDLLD). In their last 2 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 1, Werder Bremen won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
