Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli: Prediction
📍 Signal Iduna Park
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
5 goals- Nico Schlotterbeckyellow card16'
- 38'Eric Smithyellow card
- Karim Adeyemiyellow card43'
- ⚽Julian Brandtassist Karim Adeyemi45'
- ⚽Karim Adeyemiassist Fábio Silva54'
- 62'⚽James Sandsassist Eric Smith
- 64'⇄Adam Dźwigałaon
- 64'⇄Lars Ritzkaon
- 64'⇄Martijn Kaarson
- Jobe Bellinghamyellow card69'
- ⇄Karim Adeyemion71'
- ⇄Fábio Silvaon71'
- ⇄Julian Ryersonon71'
- 72'⚽Ricky-Jade Jonesassist Eric Smith
- ⇄Felix Nmechaon83'
- ⇄Julian Brandton83'
- ⚽Emre Canpenalty90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 63%Possession37%
- 3.09Expected goals (xG)0.54
- 10Shots9
- 6Shots on target5
- 5Corners5
- 9Fouls11
- 3Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides2
- 3Saves2
- 648Passes364
Line-ups
Borussia Dortmund
- 23Emre Can
- 10Julian Brandt
- 4Nico Schlotterbeck
- 26Julian Ryerson
- 27Karim Adeyemi
- 21Fábio Silva
- 1Gregor Kobel
- 3Waldemar Anton
- 8Felix Nmecha
- 24Daniel Svensson
- 7Jobe Bellingham
St Pauli
- 28Mathias Pereira-Lage
- 5Hauke Wahl
- 25Adam Dźwigała
- 8Eric Smith
- 16Joel Fujita
- 6James Sands
- 22Nikola Vasilj
- 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
- 21Lars Ritzka
- 3Karol Mets
- 19Martijn Kaars
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Borussia DortmundWDWDW
St PauliLDWDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 32 | +36 | 71 |
| 2 | St Pauli | 32 | -31 | 23 |
Head to head
- St Pauli 3–3 Borussia Dortmund2025-08-23
Match preview
Borussia Dortmund host St Pauli in the Bundesliga on 17 January 2026. Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd on 71 points and St Pauli are 18th on 23. Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of their last 5 (WDWDW), while St Pauli have won 1 of 5 (LDWDL). In their last 1 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 0, St Pauli won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
