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Kick-off · Matchday 29

Borussia Dortmund vs Schalke 04: Prediction

📍 Signal Iduna Park

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.45 – 0.98
Team rating (Elo)1538 – 1456

Recent form

Borussia DortmundDWWDW
Schalke 04DLLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Borussia Dortmund7+515
2Schalke 047-73

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Why the model leans Borussia Dortmund

  • Borussia Dortmund rate higher on our strength scale (1538 vs 1456).
  • Borussia Dortmund are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
  • Borussia Dortmund won 3 of their last 5.
  • Schalke 04 won 0 of their last 5.
  • League table: Borussia Dortmund #2, Schalke 04 #18.

Match preview

Borussia Dortmund host Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on 10 April 2027. Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd on 15 points and Schalke 04 are 18th on 3. Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of their last 5 (DWWDW), while Schalke 04 have won 0 of 5 (DLLDL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Borussia Dortmund 70%, the draw 17% and Schalke 04 13%, so Borussia Dortmund are the slight favourites, with 2-0 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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