Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig: Prediction
📍 Signal Iduna Park
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- Nico Schlotterbeckyellow card6'
- 7'⚽Christoph Baumgartnerassist Assan Ouédraogo
- 21'Christoph Baumgartneryellow card
- ⚽Yan Coutoassist Sehrou Guirassy23'
- 54'Ridle Bakuyellow card
- ⇄Yan Coutoon60'
- 67'⇄Assan Ouédraogoon
- 67'⇄Antonio Nusaon
- ⇄Felix Nmechaon70'
- ⇄Karim Adeyemion70'
- ⇄Sehrou Guirassyon81'
- ⇄Maximilian Beieron81'
- 86'Ezechiel Banzuziyellow card
- 89'⇄Johan Bakayokoon
- 90'⇄Rômulo Cardoso da Cruzon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 50%Possession50%
- 1Expected goals (xG)1
- 15Shots13
- 3Shots on target3
- 7Corners7
- 13Fouls14
- 1Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides3
- 2Saves2
- 496Passes496
Line-ups
Borussia Dortmund
- 20Marcel Sabitzer
- 5Ramy Bensebaini
- 9Sehrou Guirassy
- 4Nico Schlotterbeck
- 27Karim Adeyemi
- 1Gregor Kobel
- 3Waldemar Anton
- 8Felix Nmecha
- 24Daniel Svensson
- 14Maximilian Beier
- 2Yan Couto
RB Leipzig
- 1Peter Gulacsi
- 4Willi Orban
- 14Christoph Baumgartner
- 17Ridle Baku
- 22David Raum
- 13Nicolas Seiwald
- 23Castello Lukeba
- 7Antonio Nusa
- 9Johan Bakayoko
- 40Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
- 20Assan Ouédraogo
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Borussia DortmundWDWWW
RB LeipzigLWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 32 | +36 | 71 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 32 | +21 | 64 |
Head to head
Not enough past results yet.
Match preview
Borussia Dortmund host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 4 October 2025. Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd on 71 points and RB Leipzig are 3rd on 64. Borussia Dortmund have won 4 of their last 5 (WDWWW), while RB Leipzig have won 4 of 5 (LWWWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
