Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz: Prediction
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- 9'Silvan Widmeryellow card
- ⚽Sehrou Guirassyassist Julian Ryerson10'
- ⚽Maximilian Beierassist Julian Ryerson15'
- Niklas Suleyellow card23'
- 27'⇄Stefan Bellon
- ⚽Sehrou Guirassyassist Julian Ryerson42'
- ⇄Niklas Suleon46'
- 56'Stefan Poschyellow card
- 60'⇄Silvan Widmeron
- 60'⇄Jae-Sung Leeon
- 60'⇄Silas Katompa Mvumpaon
- ⇄Julian Brandton61'
- ⇄Maximilian Beieron61'
- 73'⇄Phillip Tietzon
- ⇄Felix Nmechaon74'
- ⇄Sehrou Guirassyon74'
- ⚽Ramy Bensebainiassist Julian Ryerson84'
- Carney Chukwuemekayellow card86'
- Fábio Silvayellow card90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 55%Possession45%
- 2.32Expected goals (xG)1.51
- 14Shots10
- 8Shots on target5
- 7Corners2
- 10Fouls5
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides5
- 5Saves4
- 507Passes432
Line-ups
Borussia Dortmund
- 25Niklas Sule
- 10Julian Brandt
- 5Ramy Bensebaini
- 9Sehrou Guirassy
- 26Julian Ryerson
- 1Gregor Kobel
- 3Waldemar Anton
- 8Felix Nmecha
- 24Daniel Svensson
- 14Maximilian Beier
- 7Jobe Bellingham
Mainz
- 31Dominik Kohr
- 16Stefan Bell
- 21Danny da Costa
- 30Silvan Widmer
- 4Stefan Posch
- 10Nadiem Amiri
- 26Silas Katompa Mvumpa
- 7Jae-Sung Lee
- 20Phillip Tietz
- 33Daniel Batz
- 6Kaishu Sano
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Borussia DortmundWWWWW
MainzWLWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 32 | +36 | 71 |
| 2 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
Head to head
- Mainz 0–2 Borussia Dortmund2025-09-27
Match preview
Borussia Dortmund host Mainz in the Bundesliga on 13 February 2026. Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd on 71 points and Mainz are 10th on 39. Borussia Dortmund have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Mainz have won 4 of 5 (WLWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 1, Mainz won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
