Borussia Dortmund vs Köln: Prediction
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Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Borussia DortmundDWWDW
KölnLWLDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | +5 | 15 |
| 2 | Köln | 7 | -3 | 8 |
Head to head
- Köln 1–2 Borussia Dortmund2026-03-07
- Borussia Dortmund 1–0 Köln2025-10-25
Why the model leans Borussia Dortmund
- Borussia Dortmund rate higher on our strength scale (1538 vs 1442).
- Borussia Dortmund are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Borussia Dortmund won 3 of their last 5.
- Köln won 1 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Borussia Dortmund 2, Köln 0, draws 0.
Match preview
Borussia Dortmund host Köln in the Bundesliga on 15 May 2027. Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd on 15 points and Köln are 13th on 8. Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of their last 5 (DWWDW), while Köln have won 1 of 5 (LWLDD). In their last 2 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 2, Köln won 0 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Borussia Dortmund 71%, the draw 17% and Köln 12%, so Borussia Dortmund are the slight favourites, with 2-0 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
