Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg: Prediction
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
6 goals- 19'⚽Philip Oteleassist William Mikelbrencis
- 38'⚽Albert Sambi Lokongaassist Fábio Vieira
- ⚽Felix Nmechapenalty45'
- 45'Nicolai Rembergyellow card
- Karim Adeyemiyellow card45'
- ⇄Karim Adeyemion46'
- ⇄Luca Reggianion46'
- ⇄Daniel Svenssonon58'
- ⇄Marcel Sabitzeron58'
- 67'⇄Fábio Vieiraon
- 68'Philip Oteleyellow card
- 68'⇄Philip Oteleon
- 72'William Mikelbrencisyellow card
- ⚽Ramy Bensebainipenalty73'
- ⚽Sehrou Guirassy78'
- 79'⇄Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferon
- ⚽Ramy Bensebainipenalty84'
- 90'⇄William Mikelbrencison
- 90'⇄Warmed Omarion
- Julian Ryersonyellow card90'
- ⇄Felix Nmechaon90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 68%Possession32%
- 6.20Expected goals (xG)1.47
- 24Shots4
- 8Shots on target4
- 11Corners3
- 10Fouls8
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides2
- 2Saves5
- 533Passes259
Line-ups
Borussia Dortmund
- 20Marcel Sabitzer
- 4Nico Schlotterbeck
- 26Julian Ryerson
- 27Karim Adeyemi
- 1Gregor Kobel
- 3Waldemar Anton
- 8Felix Nmecha
- 24Daniel Svensson
- 14Maximilian Beier
- 7Jobe Bellingham
- 49Luca Reggiani
Hamburg
- 25Jordan Torunarigha
- 1Daniel Fernandes
- 6Albert Sambi Lokonga
- 20Fábio Vieira
- 17Warmed Omari
- 11Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
- 28Miro Muheim
- 2William Mikelbrencis
- 21Nicolai Remberg
- 27Philip Otele
- 44Luka Vušković
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Borussia DortmundWWLWW
HamburgWLLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 32 | +36 | 71 |
| 2 | Hamburg | 32 | -14 | 36 |
Head to head
- Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Hamburg2026-08-29
Match preview
Borussia Dortmund host Hamburg in the Bundesliga on 21 March 2026. Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd on 71 points and Hamburg are 11th on 36. Borussia Dortmund have won 4 of their last 5 (WWLWW), while Hamburg have won 2 of 5 (WLLWD). In their last 1 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 1, Hamburg won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
