Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg: Prediction
📍 Signal Iduna Park
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- ⚽Maximilian Beierassist Ramy Bensebaini8'
- ⚽Sehrou Guirassyassist Julian Brandt14'
- ⚽Ramy Bensebainiassist Julian Ryerson31'
- Jobe Bellinghamyellow card65'
- 67'⇄Igor Matanovicon
- 67'⇄Vincenzo Grifoon
- ⇄Samuele Inácioon74'
- 75'⇄Philipp Lienharton
- 75'⇄Derry Scherhanton
- ⇄Sehrou Guirassyon84'
- ⇄Julian Brandton84'
- 84'⇄Nicolas Hofleron
- ⚽Fábio Silva87'
- ⇄Jobe Bellinghamon88'
- ⇄Maximilian Beieron89'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 61%Possession39%
- 3.59Expected goals (xG)0.74
- 17Shots7
- 5Shots on target4
- 5Corners0
- 19Fouls10
- 1Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides2
- 4Saves1
- 543Passes357
Line-ups
Borussia Dortmund
- 10Julian Brandt
- 20Marcel Sabitzer
- 5Ramy Bensebaini
- 9Sehrou Guirassy
- 4Nico Schlotterbeck
- 26Julian Ryerson
- 1Gregor Kobel
- 3Waldemar Anton
- 14Maximilian Beier
- 7Jobe Bellingham
- 40Samuele Inácio
Freiburg
- 30Christian Gunter
- 27Nicolas Hofler
- 8Maximilian Eggestein
- 3Philipp Lienhart
- 9Lucas Höler
- 17Lukas Kübler
- 32Vincenzo Grifo
- 31Igor Matanovic
- 7Derry Scherhant
- 1Noah Atubolu
- 43Bruno Ogbus
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Borussia DortmundWWWLL
FreiburgLWLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 32 | +36 | 71 |
| 2 | Freiburg | 32 | -8 | 41 |
Head to head
- Freiburg 1–1 Borussia Dortmund2025-12-14
Match preview
Borussia Dortmund host Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 26 April 2026. Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd on 71 points and Freiburg are 8th on 41. Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWLL), while Freiburg have won 3 of 5 (LWLWW). In their last 1 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 0, Freiburg won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
