FTMatchday 8

Borussia Dortmund vs Köln: Prediction

📍 Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund1

Köln0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

Borussia DortmundKöln

44'Ísak Bergmann Jóhannessonyellow card
45'Sebastian Sebulonsenyellow card
46'Marius Bülteron
56'Cenk Özkacaron
Sehrou Guirassyyellow card63'
Carney Chukwuemekaon68'
Pascal Grosson68'
72'Ísak Bergmann Jóhannessonon
72'Said El Malaon
72'Denis Huseinbasicon
Karim Adeyemion79'
Felix Nmechaon85'
Daniel Svenssonon85'
Maximilian Beieryellow card90'
Maximilian Beierassist Fábio Silva90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Borussia DortmundKöln

70%Possession30%
2Expected goals (xG)0
27Shots5
9Shots on target0
17Corners2
10Fouls8
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Offsides2
0Saves8
604Passes262

Line-ups

Borussia Dortmund

13Pascal Gross
5Ramy Bensebaini
9Sehrou Guirassy
4Nico Schlotterbeck
26Julian Ryerson
27Karim Adeyemi
1Gregor Kobel
3Waldemar Anton
8Felix Nmecha
24Daniel Svensson
17Carney Chukwuemeka

Köln

1Marvin Schwabe
30Marius Bülter
4Timo Hübers
6Eric Martel
18Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
16Jakub Kamiński
39Cenk Özkacar
8Denis Huseinbasic
32Kristoffer Lund Hansen
28Sebastian Sebulonsen
13Said El Mala

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1538 – 1442

Recent form

Borussia DortmundWWDLW

KölnDLLWD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	32	+36	71
2	Köln	32	-12	31

Head to head

Köln 1–2 Borussia Dortmund2026-03-07

Match preview

Borussia Dortmund host Köln in the Bundesliga on 25 October 2025. Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd on 71 points and Köln are 14th on 31. Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of their last 5 (WWDLW), while Köln have won 1 of 5 (DLLWD). In their last 1 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 1, Köln won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.