FTMatchday 24

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich: Prediction

📍 Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund2

Bayern Munich3

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals

Borussia DortmundBayern Munich

Nico Schlotterbeckyellow card20'
Nico Schlotterbeckassist Daniel Svensson26'
Emre Canon45'
54'Harry Kaneassist Serge Gnabry
62'Serge Gnabryon
Fábio Silvaon67'
70'Harry Kanepenalty
Karim Adeyemion75'
Maximilian Beieron75'
Felix Nmechaon75'
Daniel Svenssonassist Marcel Sabitzer83'
87'Joshua Kimmich
90'Konrad Laimeron
90'Michael Oliseon
90'Joshua Kimmichon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Borussia DortmundBayern Munich

33%Possession67%
1.05Expected goals (xG)2.06
10Shots14
2Shots on target6
5Corners2
15Fouls10
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Offsides1
3Saves0
288Passes590

Line-ups

Borussia Dortmund

23Emre Can
20Marcel Sabitzer
4Nico Schlotterbeck
27Karim Adeyemi
21Fábio Silva
1Gregor Kobel
3Waldemar Anton
8Felix Nmecha
24Daniel Svensson
14Maximilian Beier
2Yan Couto

Bayern Munich

7Serge Gnabry
9Harry Kane
4Jonathan Tah
6Joshua Kimmich
2Dayot Upamecano
27Konrad Laimer
14Luis Díaz
17Michael Olise
44Josip Stanišić
40Jonas Urbig
45Aleksandar Pavlović

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1538 – 1561

Recent form

Borussia DortmundWWWWW

Bayern MunichWLDWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	32	+85	85
2	Borussia Dortmund	32	+36	71

Head to head

Bayern Munich 2–2 Borussia Dortmund2026-10-31
Bayern Munich 2–1 Borussia Dortmund2025-10-18

Match preview

Borussia Dortmund host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on 28 February 2026. Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd on 71 points and Bayern Munich are 1st on 85. Borussia Dortmund have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Bayern Munich have won 3 of 5 (WLDWW). In their last 2 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 0, Bayern Munich won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.