Kick-off · Sun, 13 Dec, 05:30 pm ISTMatchday 14
Borneo Samarinda vs Persebaya Surabaya: Prediction
Borneo Samarinda48%Home win
Persebaya Surabaya48% Home win25% Draw27% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.61 – 1.13
Team rating (Elo)1582 – 1563
Recent form
Borneo SamarindaWLWLWPersebaya SurabayaWDLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persebaya Surabaya | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 2 | Borneo Samarinda | 6 | -1 | 9 |
Head to head
- Borneo Samarinda 5–1 Persebaya Surabaya2026-03-07
- Persebaya Surabaya 2–2 Borneo Samarinda2025-12-20
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
