Kick-off · Sun, 27 Dec, 02:00 pm ISTMatchday 17
Borneo Samarinda vs Madura United: Prediction
Borneo Samarinda58%Home win
Madura United58% Home win22% Draw20% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.86 – 0.98
Team rating (Elo)1582 – 1495
Recent form
Borneo SamarindaWLWLWMadura UnitedWLDWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madura United | 7 | +2 | 13 |
| 2 | Borneo Samarinda | 6 | -1 | 9 |
Head to head
- Madura United 1–3 Borneo Samarinda2026-04-05
- Borneo Samarinda 1–0 Madura United2025-11-22
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
