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FTMatchday 2

Birmingham City vs Port Vale: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
Birmingham CityPort Vale
  1. Phil Neumannyellow card30'
  2. Marc Leonardyellow card39'
  3. 45'Jaheim Headleyassist Ryan Croasdale
  4. Marvin Duckschon46'
  5. Kanya Fujimotoon46'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1497 – 1505

Recent form

Birmingham CityW
Port ValeW
#TeamPGDPts
1Port Vale306
2Birmingham City203

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Birmingham City host Port Vale in the EFL Cup on 26 August 2025. Birmingham City sit 34th on 3 points and Port Vale are 21st on 6. Birmingham City have won 1 of their last 1 (W), while Port Vale have won 1 of 1 (W). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.