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FTMatchday 1

Benfica vs Qarabağ: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1496

Recent form

Benfica–
Qarabağ–
#TeamPGDPts
1Qarabağ5-17
2Benfica5-43

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Benfica host Qarabağ in the UEFA Champions League on 16 September 2025. Benfica sit 30th on 3 points and Qarabağ are 19th on 7. There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming