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FTMatchday 27

Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin: Prediction

📍 Allianz Arena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
Bayern MunichUnion Berlin
  1. Dayot Upamecanoyellow card3'
  2. 30'Leopold Querfeldyellow card
  3. 37'Danilho Doekhiyellow card
  4. Michael Olise43'
  5. Serge Gnabry45'
  6. 46'Tim Skarkeon
  7. 46'Stanley Nsokion
  8. Harry Kaneassist Konrad Laimer49'
  9. 61'Livan Burcuon
  10. 61'Aljoscha Kemleinon
  11. Lennart Karlon61'
  12. Dayot Upamecanoon61'
  13. Serge Gnabry67'
  14. Min-jae Kimon71'
  15. 76'Christopher Trimmelon
  16. Serge Gnabryon87'
  17. Leon Goretzkaon87'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Bayern MunichUnion Berlin
  • 74%Possession26%
  • 5.53Expected goals (xG)0.21
  • 31Shots5
  • 9Shots on target1
  • 12Corners1
  • 5Fouls8
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides4
  • 1Saves5
  • 702Passes244

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

  • 7Serge Gnabry
  • 9Harry Kane
  • 8Leon Goretzka
  • 6Joshua Kimmich
  • 2Dayot Upamecano
  • 27Konrad Laimer
  • 17Michael Olise
  • 44Josip Stanišić
  • 3Min-jae Kim
  • 40Jonas Urbig
  • 42Lennart Karl

Union Berlin

  • 8Rani Khedira
  • 5Danilho Doekhi
  • 34Stanley Nsoki
  • 1Frederik Rønnow
  • 19Janik Haberer
  • 28Christopher Trimmel
  • 39Derrick Köhn
  • 21Tim Skarke
  • 14Leopold Querfeld
  • 6Aljoscha Kemlein
  • 9Livan Burcu

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1561 – 1455

Recent form

Bayern MunichWWWWD
Union BerlinDLLLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Bayern Munich32+8585
2Union Berlin32-1535

Head to head

  • Bayern Munich 7–0 Union Berlin2026-09-18

Match preview

Bayern Munich host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 21 March 2026. Bayern Munich sit 1st on 85 points and Union Berlin are 13th on 35. Bayern Munich have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWD), while Union Berlin have won 1 of 5 (DLLLW). In their last 1 meetings, Bayern Munich won 1, Union Berlin won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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