Bayern Munich vs St Pauli: Prediction
📍 Allianz Arena
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- 6'⚽Andréas Hountondjiassist Mathias Pereira-Lage
- 18'⇄Andréas Hountondjion
- 39'Karol Metsyellow card
- ⚽Raphael Guerreiroassist Luis Díaz44'
- ⇄Konrad Laimeron46'
- ⇄Lennart Karlon65'
- ⇄Raphael Guerreiroon65'
- 68'⇄Lars Ritzkaon
- 68'⇄Jackson Irvineon
- ⇄Min-jae Kimon77'
- Jonathan Tahyellow card83'
- ⇄Aleksandar Pavlovićon83'
- 87'⇄Mathias Pereira-Lageon
- ⚽Luis Díazassist Joshua Kimmich90'
- ⚽Nicolas Jackson90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 80%Possession20%
- 2.30Expected goals (xG)0.64
- 19Shots10
- 4Shots on target1
- 10Corners2
- 5Fouls8
- 1Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides2
- 0Saves1
- 995Passes242
Line-ups
Bayern Munich
- 9Harry Kane
- 1Manuel Neuer
- 22Raphael Guerreiro
- 4Jonathan Tah
- 6Joshua Kimmich
- 27Konrad Laimer
- 14Luis Díaz
- 3Min-jae Kim
- 20Tom Bischof
- 45Aleksandar Pavlović
- 42Lennart Karl
St Pauli
- 7Jackson Irvine
- 28Mathias Pereira-Lage
- 5Hauke Wahl
- 8Eric Smith
- 16Joel Fujita
- 6James Sands
- 22Nikola Vasilj
- 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
- 21Lars Ritzka
- 3Karol Mets
- 27Andréas Hountondji
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Bayern MunichWWWWL
St PauliLLLLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 32 | +85 | 85 |
| 2 | St Pauli | 32 | -31 | 23 |
Head to head
- St Pauli 0–5 Bayern Munich2026-04-11
Match preview
Bayern Munich host St Pauli in the Bundesliga on 29 November 2025. Bayern Munich sit 1st on 85 points and St Pauli are 18th on 23. Bayern Munich have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWL), while St Pauli have won 0 of 5 (LLLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Bayern Munich won 1, St Pauli won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
