Bayern Munich vs Schalke 04: Prediction
📍 Allianz Arena
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Bayern MunichDWDWD
Schalke 04DLLDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | +18 | 15 |
| 2 | Schalke 04 | 7 | -7 | 3 |
Head to head
- Schalke 04 0–0 Bayern Munich2026-09-05
Why the model leans Bayern Munich
- Bayern Munich rate higher on our strength scale (1545 vs 1456).
- Bayern Munich are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Schalke 04 won 0 of their last 5.
- League table: Bayern Munich #1, Schalke 04 #18.
- Expected goals from the model: Bayern Munich 2.7, Schalke 04 0.9.
Match preview
Bayern Munich host Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on 30 January 2027. Bayern Munich sit 1st on 15 points and Schalke 04 are 18th on 3. Bayern Munich have won 2 of their last 5 (DWDWD), while Schalke 04 have won 0 of 5 (DLLDL). In their last 1 meetings, Bayern Munich won 0, Schalke 04 won 0 and 1 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Bayern Munich 75%, the draw 15% and Schalke 04 10%, so Bayern Munich are the slight favourites, with 2-0 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
