FTMatchday 1

Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig: Prediction

📍 Allianz Arena

Bayern Munich6

RB Leipzig0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

6 goals

Bayern MunichRB Leipzig

Michael Olise27'
Luis Díazassist Serge Gnabry32'
34'Willi Orbanyellow card
Michael Oliseassist Serge Gnabry42'
46'Yan Diomandeon
46'Loïs Opendaon
Jonathan Tahyellow card49'
Konrad Laimeryellow card63'
Harry Kaneassist Luis Díaz64'
Joshua Kimmichyellow card68'
Jonathan Tahon68'
Leon Goretzkaon68'
69'Johan Bakayokoon
69'Xaver Schlageron
Serge Gnabryon69'
Konrad Laimeron69'
Harry Kaneassist Luis Díaz74'
Harry Kaneassist Min-jae Kim77'
Harry Kaneon86'
Michael Oliseyellow card87'
88'Nicolas Seiwaldon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Bayern MunichRB Leipzig

63%Possession37%
2Expected goals (xG)1
19Shots12
10Shots on target1
5Corners5
13Fouls13
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Offsides0
1Saves3
655Passes382

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

7Serge Gnabry
9Harry Kane
1Manuel Neuer
4Jonathan Tah
8Leon Goretzka
6Joshua Kimmich
2Dayot Upamecano
27Konrad Laimer
14Luis Díaz
17Michael Olise
44Josip Stanišić

RB Leipzig

1Peter Gulacsi
4Willi Orban
17Ridle Baku
24Xaver Schlager
11Loïs Openda
22David Raum
10Xavi Simons
13Nicolas Seiwald
23Castello Lukeba
9Johan Bakayoko
49Yan Diomande

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1561 – 1472

Recent form

Bayern Munich–

RB Leipzig–

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	32	+85	85
2	RB Leipzig	32	+21	64

Head to head

Bayern Munich 6–1 RB Leipzig2026-10-17
RB Leipzig 1–5 Bayern Munich2026-01-17

Match preview

Bayern Munich host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 22 August 2025. Bayern Munich sit 1st on 85 points and RB Leipzig are 3rd on 64. In their last 2 meetings, Bayern Munich won 2, RB Leipzig won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.