Bayern Munich vs Mainz: Prediction
📍 Allianz Arena
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- ⚽Lennart Karlassist Serge Gnabry29'
- 45'⚽Kacper Potulskiassist William Bøving
- 50'Danny da Costayellow card
- ⇄Hiroki Itoon61'
- ⇄Leon Goretzkaon61'
- ⇄Tom Bischofon61'
- 62'⇄Sota Kawasakion
- 67'⚽Jae-Sung Leeassist Stefan Bell
- ⇄Min-jae Kimon73'
- Konrad Laimeryellow card77'
- 78'⇄Benedict Hollerbachon
- Alphonso Daviesyellow card83'
- 86'Kacper Potulskiyellow card
- ⚽Harry Kaneassist Harry Kane87'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 85%Possession15%
- 4Expected goals (xG)1
- 24Shots5
- 11Shots on target2
- 7Corners0
- 7Fouls8
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 6Offsides1
- 0Saves8
- 972Passes176
Line-ups
Bayern Munich
- 7Serge Gnabry
- 9Harry Kane
- 1Manuel Neuer
- 8Leon Goretzka
- 6Joshua Kimmich
- 17Michael Olise
- 44Josip Stanišić
- 21Hiroki Ito
- 3Min-jae Kim
- 20Tom Bischof
- 42Lennart Karl
Mainz
- 16Stefan Bell
- 21Danny da Costa
- 7Jae-Sung Lee
- 22Nikolas Veratschnig
- 14William Bøving
- 15Lennard Maloney
- 17Benedict Hollerbach
- 33Daniel Batz
- 6Kaishu Sano
- 24Sota Kawasaki
- 48Kacper Potulski
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Bayern MunichWWLWW
MainzLDDLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 32 | +85 | 85 |
| 2 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
Head to head
- Mainz 3–4 Bayern Munich2026-04-25
Match preview
Bayern Munich host Mainz in the Bundesliga on 14 December 2025. Bayern Munich sit 1st on 85 points and Mainz are 10th on 39. Bayern Munich have won 4 of their last 5 (WWLWW), while Mainz have won 0 of 5 (LDDLL). In their last 1 meetings, Bayern Munich won 1, Mainz won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
