Bayern Munich vs Hamburg: Prediction
📍 Allianz Arena
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
5 goals- 1'Aboubaka Soumahoroyellow card
- ⚽Serge Gnabryassist Konrad Laimer3'
- ⚽Aleksandar Pavlovićassist Harry Kane9'
- ⚽Harry Kanepenalty26'
- Dayot Upamecanoyellow card27'
- ⚽Luis Díazassist Joshua Kimmich29'
- 46'⇄Aboubaka Soumahoroon
- 46'⇄Alexander Røssing-Lelesiiton
- 46'⇄Nicolás Capaldoon
- ⇄Serge Gnabryon46'
- ⇄Dayot Upamecanoon46'
- ⚽Harry Kaneassist Michael Olise62'
- ⇄Raphael Guerreiroon63'
- ⇄Harry Kaneon64'
- ⇄Luis Díazon76'
- 76'⇄Fábio Vieiraon
- 76'⇄Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferon
- 86'Miro Muheimyellow card
- Aleksandar Pavlovićyellow card90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 70%Possession30%
- 3Expected goals (xG)1
- 22Shots9
- 12Shots on target2
- 5Corners3
- 11Fouls14
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides2
- 2Saves7
- 769Passes316
Line-ups
Bayern Munich
- 7Serge Gnabry
- 9Harry Kane
- 1Manuel Neuer
- 4Jonathan Tah
- 6Joshua Kimmich
- 2Dayot Upamecano
- 27Konrad Laimer
- 14Luis Díaz
- 17Michael Olise
- 44Josip Stanišić
- 45Aleksandar Pavlović
Hamburg
- 1Daniel Fernandes
- 24Nicolás Capaldo
- 20Fábio Vieira
- 17Warmed Omari
- 11Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
- 28Miro Muheim
- 2William Mikelbrencis
- 38Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit
- 21Nicolai Remberg
- 22Aboubaka Soumahoro
- 44Luka Vušković
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Bayern MunichWW
HamburgDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 32 | +85 | 85 |
| 2 | Hamburg | 32 | -14 | 36 |
Head to head
- Hamburg 2–2 Bayern Munich2026-01-31
Match preview
Bayern Munich host Hamburg in the Bundesliga on 13 September 2025. Bayern Munich sit 1st on 85 points and Hamburg are 11th on 36. Bayern Munich have won 2 of their last 2 (WW), while Hamburg have won 0 of 2 (DL). In their last 1 meetings, Bayern Munich won 0, Hamburg won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
