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FTMatchday 11

Bayern Munich vs Freiburg: Prediction

📍 Allianz Arena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

8 goals
Bayern MunichFreiburg
  1. 12'Yuito Suzukiassist Matthias Ginter
  2. 17'Johan Manzambiassist Jan-Niklas Beste
  3. Lennart Karlassist Michael Olise22'
  4. Aleksandar Pavlovićyellow card40'
  5. Michael Oliseassist Lennart Karl45'
  6. Leon Goretzkaon46'
  7. Dayot Upamecanoassist Michael Olise55'
  8. Harry Kaneassist Aleksandar Pavlović60'
  9. 64'Johan Manzambion
  10. 64'Derry Scherhanton
  11. 64'Lucas Höleron
  12. Lennart Karlon71'
  13. Dayot Upamecanoon77'
  14. 77'Maximilian Rosenfelderon
  15. 77'Yuito Suzukion
  16. Nicolas Jacksonassist Michael Olise78'
  17. Harry Kaneon83'
  18. Aleksandar Pavlovićon83'
  19. Michael Oliseassist Hiroki Ito84'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Bayern MunichFreiburg
  • 72%Possession28%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)1
  • 22Shots8
  • 8Shots on target2
  • 3Corners5
  • 9Fouls7
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides3
  • 0Saves2
  • 778Passes296

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

  • 9Harry Kane
  • 1Manuel Neuer
  • 4Jonathan Tah
  • 8Leon Goretzka
  • 2Dayot Upamecano
  • 14Luis Díaz
  • 17Michael Olise
  • 44Josip Stanišić
  • 20Tom Bischof
  • 45Aleksandar Pavlović
  • 42Lennart Karl

Freiburg

  • 28Matthias Ginter
  • 8Maximilian Eggestein
  • 9Lucas Höler
  • 19Jan-Niklas Beste
  • 14Yuito Suzuki
  • 7Derry Scherhant
  • 1Noah Atubolu
  • 33Jordy Makengo Basambundu
  • 29Philipp Treu
  • 37Maximilian Rosenfelder
  • 44Johan Manzambi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1561 – 1518

Recent form

Bayern MunichWWWWW
FreiburgDDDLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Bayern Munich32+8585
2Freiburg32-841

Head to head

  • Freiburg 1–3 Bayern Munich2026-10-25
  • Freiburg 2–3 Bayern Munich2026-04-04

Match preview

Bayern Munich host Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 22 November 2025. Bayern Munich sit 1st on 85 points and Freiburg are 8th on 41. Bayern Munich have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Freiburg have won 0 of 5 (DDDLD). In their last 2 meetings, Bayern Munich won 2, Freiburg won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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