FTMatchday 7

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction

📍 Allianz Arena

Bayern Munich2

Borussia Dortmund1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Bayern MunichBorussia Dortmund

20'Julian Ryersonyellow card
Harry Kaneassist Joshua Kimmich22'
44'Waldemar Antonyellow card
46'Niklas Suleon
Konrad Laimeryellow card48'
50'Ramy Bensebainiyellow card
Nicolas Jacksonon61'
73'Marcel Sabitzeron
74'Karim Adeyemion
Michael Olise79'
Sacha Boeyon84'
84'Pascal Grosson
84'Sehrou Guirassyon
84'Julian Brandtassist Julian Ryerson
Aleksandar Pavlovićon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Bayern MunichBorussia Dortmund

61%Possession39%
2Expected goals (xG)2
15Shots8
7Shots on target1
4Corners3
12Fouls17
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Offsides1
0Saves6
586Passes369

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

9Harry Kane
1Manuel Neuer
4Jonathan Tah
6Joshua Kimmich
2Dayot Upamecano
27Konrad Laimer
14Luis Díaz
17Michael Olise
23Sacha Boey
11Nicolas Jackson
45Aleksandar Pavlović

Borussia Dortmund

25Niklas Sule
13Pascal Gross
20Marcel Sabitzer
9Sehrou Guirassy
4Nico Schlotterbeck
26Julian Ryerson
27Karim Adeyemi
1Gregor Kobel
3Waldemar Anton
8Felix Nmecha
24Daniel Svensson

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1561 – 1538

Recent form

Bayern MunichWWWWW

Borussia DortmundDWWWD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	32	+85	85
2	Borussia Dortmund	32	+36	71

Head to head

Bayern Munich 2–2 Borussia Dortmund2026-10-31
Borussia Dortmund 2–3 Bayern Munich2026-02-28

Match preview

Bayern Munich host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 18 October 2025. Bayern Munich sit 1st on 85 points and Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 71. Bayern Munich have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of 5 (DWWWD). In their last 2 meetings, Bayern Munich won 1, Borussia Dortmund won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.