FTMatchday 9

Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction

📍 Allianz Arena

Bayern Munich3

Bayer Leverkusen0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Bayern MunichBayer Leverkusen

Serge Gnabryassist Tom Bischof25'
Nicolas Jacksonassist Konrad Laimer31'
Loïc Badéown goal44'
46'Aleix Garcíaon
56'Claudio Echeverrion
56'Ernest Pokuon
56'Patrik Schickon
Lennart Karlon59'
Serge Gnabryon59'
Nicolas Jacksonon59'
65'Ibrahim Mazayellow card
Konrad Laimeron75'
Raphael Guerreiroon79'
85'Jeanuël Belocianon
Leon Goretzkayellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Bayern MunichBayer Leverkusen

59%Possession41%
2Expected goals (xG)0
18Shots7
4Shots on target1
10Corners4
11Fouls3
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides1
1Saves2
672Passes467

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

7Serge Gnabry
1Manuel Neuer
22Raphael Guerreiro
4Jonathan Tah
8Leon Goretzka
6Joshua Kimmich
27Konrad Laimer
3Min-jae Kim
11Nicolas Jackson
20Tom Bischof
42Lennart Karl

Bayer Leverkusen

14Patrik Schick
1Mark Flekken
8Robert Andrich
12Edmond Tapsoba
5Loïc Badé
24Aleix García
44Jeanuël Belocian
4Jarell Quansah
19Ernest Poku
13Arthur
9Claudio Echeverri

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1561 – 1506

Recent form

Bayern MunichWWWWW

Bayer LeverkusenDWWLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	32	+85	85
2	Bayer Leverkusen	32	+16	56

Head to head

Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Bayern Munich2026-03-14

Match preview

Bayern Munich host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on 1 November 2025. Bayern Munich sit 1st on 85 points and Bayer Leverkusen are 6th on 56. Bayern Munich have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 of 5 (DWWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Bayern Munich won 0, Bayer Leverkusen won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.