Bayern Munich vs Augsburg: Prediction
📍 Allianz Arena
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Bayern MunichWDWDW
AugsburgLDLDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | +18 | 15 |
| 2 | Augsburg | 7 | +3 | 8 |
Head to head
- Augsburg 2–2 Bayern Munich2026-10-10
- Bayern Munich 1–2 Augsburg2026-01-24
- Augsburg 2–3 Bayern Munich2025-08-30
Why the model leans Bayern Munich
- Bayern Munich rate higher on our strength scale (1561 vs 1487).
- Bayern Munich are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Bayern Munich won 3 of their last 5.
- Augsburg won 0 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Bayern Munich 1, Augsburg 1, draws 1.
Match preview
Bayern Munich host Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 20 February 2027. Bayern Munich sit 1st on 15 points and Augsburg are 12th on 8. Bayern Munich have won 3 of their last 5 (WDWDW), while Augsburg have won 0 of 5 (LDLDL). In their last 3 meetings, Bayern Munich won 1, Augsburg won 1 and 1 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Bayern Munich 73%, the draw 16% and Augsburg 11%, so Bayern Munich are the slight favourites, with 2-0 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
