Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- ⚽Ernest Pokuassist Lucas Vazquez33'
- Christian Kofaneyellow card45'
- ⇄Alex Grimaldoon46'
- ⇄Lucas Vazquezon46'
- ⚽Christian Kofane49'
- 64'⇄Oliver Burkeon
- 64'⇄András Schäferon
- 64'⇄Jeong Woo-yeongon
- 66'Diogo Leiteyellow card
- 68'Christopher Trimmelyellow card
- ⇄Ezequiel Fernándezon69'
- 71'⇄Diogo Leiteon
- 71'⇄Christopher Trimmelon
- 76'Derrick Köhnyellow card
- ⇄Christian Kofaneon81'
- ⇄Ernest Pokuon89'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 74%Possession26%
- 3Expected goals (xG)1
- 20Shots10
- 3Shots on target3
- 4Corners4
- 11Fouls13
- 1Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides0
- 3Saves1
- 822Passes278
Line-ups
Bayer Leverkusen
- 21Lucas Vazquez
- 20Alex Grimaldo
- 1Mark Flekken
- 12Edmond Tapsoba
- 5Loïc Badé
- 24Aleix García
- 10Malik Tillman
- 4Jarell Quansah
- 19Ernest Poku
- 6Ezequiel Fernández
- 35Christian Kofane
Union Berlin
- 7Oliver Burke
- 8Rani Khedira
- 4Diogo Leite
- 5Danilho Doekhi
- 1Frederik Rønnow
- 11Jeong Woo-yeong
- 28Christopher Trimmel
- 39Derrick Köhn
- 13András Schäfer
- 14Leopold Querfeld
- 23Andrej Ilić
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Bayer LeverkusenWDDWD
Union BerlinWLLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 32 | +16 | 56 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 32 | -15 | 35 |
Head to head
- Bayer Leverkusen 4–0 Union Berlin2026-09-05
Match preview
Bayer Leverkusen host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 4 October 2025. Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th on 56 points and Union Berlin are 13th on 35. Bayer Leverkusen have won 2 of their last 5 (WDDWD), while Union Berlin have won 2 of 5 (WLLWD). In their last 1 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, Union Berlin won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
