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FTMatchday 16

Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart: Prediction

📍 BayArena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
Bayer LeverkusenStuttgart
  1. 7'Jamie Lewelingassist Deniz Undav
  2. 29'Maximilian Mittelstädtpenalty
  3. Mark Flekkenyellow card38'
  4. 38'Jamie Lewelingyellow card
  5. 45'Jamie Lewelingassist Deniz Undav
  6. 45'Deniz Undavassist Chris Führich
  7. Jeanuël Belocianon46'
  8. Nathan Tellaon46'
  9. Ezequiel Fernándezon66'
  10. Martin Terrieron66'
  11. Alex Grimaldopenalty66'
  12. Loïc Badéyellow card70'
  13. 72'Chris Führichon
  14. 77'Finn Jeltschyellow card
  15. Alex Grimaldoyellow card78'
  16. 79'Josha Vagnomanon
  17. 79'Jamie Lewelingon
  18. Aleix Garcíayellow card80'
  19. Alex Grimaldoon82'
  20. 88'Nikolas Narteyon
  21. 88'Deniz Undavon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Bayer LeverkusenStuttgart
  • 57%Possession43%
  • 1.95Expected goals (xG)2.60
  • 16Shots10
  • 4Shots on target7
  • 5Corners3
  • 13Fouls11
  • 4Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides2
  • 4Saves3
  • 550Passes404

Line-ups

Bayer Leverkusen

  • 20Alex Grimaldo
  • 1Mark Flekken
  • 8Robert Andrich
  • 23Nathan Tella
  • 11Martin Terrier
  • 24Aleix García
  • 10Malik Tillman
  • 44Jeanuël Belocian
  • 4Jarell Quansah
  • 13Arthur
  • 6Ezequiel Fernández

Stuttgart

  • 33Alexander Nübel
  • 4Josha Vagnoman
  • 7Maximilian Mittelstädt
  • 24Julian Chabot
  • 16Atakan Karazor
  • 10Chris Führich
  • 28Nikolas Nartey
  • 18Jamie Leweling
  • 6Angelo Stiller
  • 3Ramon Hendriks
  • 26Deniz Undav

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1517

Recent form

Bayer LeverkusenWLLWW
StuttgartDLLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Stuttgart32+2158
2Bayer Leverkusen32+1656

Head to head

  • Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 Stuttgart2026-10-31
  • Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen2026-05-09

Match preview

Bayer Leverkusen host Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on 10 January 2026. Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th on 56 points and Stuttgart are 4th on 58. Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 of their last 5 (WLLWW), while Stuttgart have won 1 of 5 (DLLWD). In their last 2 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 0, Stuttgart won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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