Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- ⚽Jarell Quansahassist Ernest Poku13'
- ⚽Patrik Schickassist Lucas Vazquez14'
- ⇄Ibrahim Mazaon46'
- ⚽Edmond Tapsobaassist Aleix García52'
- ⇄Lucas Vazquezon59'
- ⇄Patrik Schickon59'
- 69'⇄Jackson Irvineon
- 69'⇄James Sandson
- ⇄Alex Grimaldoon72'
- ⚽Ernest Pokuassist Jonas Hofmann78'
- ⇄Exequiel Palacioson80'
- 82'⇄Martijn Kaarson
- 82'⇄Manolis Saliakason
- 90'Karol Metsyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 69%Possession31%
- 1.38Expected goals (xG)0.49
- 12Shots11
- 8Shots on target1
- 8Corners3
- 5Fouls8
- 0Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides3
- 1Saves4
- 842Passes373
Line-ups
Bayer Leverkusen
- 21Lucas Vazquez
- 20Alex Grimaldo
- 14Patrik Schick
- 25Exequiel Palacios
- 8Robert Andrich
- 12Edmond Tapsoba
- 28Janis Blaswich
- 24Aleix García
- 4Jarell Quansah
- 30Ibrahim Maza
- 19Ernest Poku
St Pauli
- 20Mathias Rasmussen
- 7Jackson Irvine
- 25Adam Dźwigała
- 6James Sands
- 22Nikola Vasilj
- 10Danel Sinani
- 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
- 3Karol Mets
- 2Manolis Saliakas
- 19Martijn Kaars
- 15Tomoya Ando
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Bayer LeverkusenLLWWD
St PauliLDDLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 32 | +16 | 56 |
| 2 | St Pauli | 32 | -31 | 23 |
Head to head
- St Pauli 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen2025-09-27
Match preview
Bayer Leverkusen host St Pauli in the Bundesliga on 14 February 2026. Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th on 56 points and St Pauli are 18th on 23. Bayer Leverkusen have won 2 of their last 5 (LLWWD), while St Pauli have won 1 of 5 (LDDLW). In their last 1 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, St Pauli won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
