Bayer Leverkusen vs Köln: Prediction
📍 BayArena
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Bayer LeverkusenWWWLL
KölnLWLDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | +2 | 12 |
| 2 | Köln | 7 | -3 | 8 |
Head to head
- Köln 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen2026-04-25
- Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Köln2025-12-13
Why the model leans Bayer Leverkusen
- Bayer Leverkusen rate higher on our strength scale (1506 vs 1442).
- Bayer Leverkusen are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Bayer Leverkusen won 3 of their last 5.
- Köln won 1 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Bayer Leverkusen 2, Köln 0, draws 0.
Match preview
Bayer Leverkusen host Köln in the Bundesliga on 13 March 2027. Bayer Leverkusen sit 7th on 12 points and Köln are 13th on 8. Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWLL), while Köln have won 1 of 5 (LWLDD). In their last 2 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 2, Köln won 0 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Bayer Leverkusen 62%, the draw 20% and Köln 18%, so Bayer Leverkusen are the slight favourites, with 2-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
