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FTMatchday 1

Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim: Prediction

📍 BayArena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Bayer LeverkusenHoffenheim
  1. Jarell Quansahassist Alex Grimaldo6'
  2. 25'Fisnik Asllaniassist Bazoumana Touré
  3. 37'Andrej Kramarićyellow card
  4. 42'Koki Machidayellow card
  5. 45'Leon Avdullahuyellow card
  6. 45'Koki Machidaon
  7. Arthur de Matos Soareson46'
  8. 46'Wouter Burgeron
  9. 52'Tim Lemperleassist Fisnik Asllani
  10. 75'Tim Lemperleon
  11. 75'Robin Hranáčon
  12. 84'Umut Tohumcuyellow card
  13. Nathan Tellaon84'
  14. Ibrahim Mazaon84'
  15. 88'Vladimír Coufalon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Bayer LeverkusenHoffenheim
  • 60%Possession40%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 8Shots10
  • 2Shots on target5
  • 6Corners4
  • 9Fouls17
  • 0Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 3Saves2
  • 565Passes387

Line-ups

Bayer Leverkusen

  • 20Alex Grimaldo
  • 14Patrik Schick
  • 1Mark Flekken
  • 8Robert Andrich
  • 12Edmond Tapsoba
  • 23Nathan Tella
  • 24Aleix García
  • 3Piero Hincapié
  • 4Jarell Quansah
  • 30Ibrahim Maza
  • 13Arthur de Matos Soares

Hoffenheim

  • 1Oliver Baumann
  • 27Andrej Kramarić
  • 13Bernardo
  • 34Vladimír Coufal
  • 18Wouter Burger
  • 28Koki Machida
  • 19Tim Lemperle
  • 11Fisnik Asllani
  • 7Leon Avdullahu
  • 2Robin Hranáč
  • 29Bazoumana Touré

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1501

Recent form

Bayer Leverkusen–
Hoffenheim–
#TeamPGDPts
1Hoffenheim32+1157
2Bayer Leverkusen32+1656

Head to head

  • Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen2026-10-25
  • Hoffenheim 1–0 Bayer Leverkusen2026-01-17

Match preview

Bayer Leverkusen host Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on 23 August 2025. Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th on 56 points and Hoffenheim are 5th on 57. In their last 2 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 0, Hoffenheim won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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