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FTMatchday 8

Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg: Prediction

📍 BayArena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
Bayer LeverkusenFreiburg
  1. 15'Philipp Lienhartyellow card
  2. Ernest Pokuassist Aleix García22'
  3. Aleix Garcíayellow card38'
  4. 46'Junior Adamuon
  5. Edmond Tapsobaassist Alex Grimaldo52'
  6. Jonas Hofmannon67'
  7. Ezequiel Fernándezon67'
  8. 67'Lukas Kübleron
  9. 67'Johan Manzambion
  10. 74'Philipp Lienhartyellow card
  11. 74'Philipp Lienhartred card
  12. Jarell Quansahon77'
  13. Christian Kofaneon77'
  14. 77'Derry Scherhanton
  15. Ernest Pokuon85'
  16. 85'Lucas Höleron

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Bayer LeverkusenFreiburg
  • 69%Possession31%
  • 1.71Expected goals (xG)0.72
  • 19Shots10
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 2Corners3
  • 9Fouls8
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards1
  • 1Offsides0
  • 3Saves2
  • 758Passes335

Line-ups

Bayer Leverkusen

  • 7Jonas Hofmann
  • 20Alex Grimaldo
  • 1Mark Flekken
  • 12Edmond Tapsoba
  • 5Loïc Badé
  • 24Aleix García
  • 4Jarell Quansah
  • 19Ernest Poku
  • 13Arthur
  • 6Ezequiel Fernández
  • 35Christian Kofane

Freiburg

  • 28Matthias Ginter
  • 8Maximilian Eggestein
  • 3Philipp Lienhart
  • 9Lucas Höler
  • 17Lukas Kübler
  • 20Junior Adamu
  • 7Derry Scherhant
  • 1Noah Atubolu
  • 33Jordy Makengo Basambundu
  • 29Philipp Treu
  • 44Johan Manzambi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1518

Recent form

Bayer LeverkusenWDWWL
FreiburgWWDDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Bayer Leverkusen32+1656
2Freiburg32-841

Head to head

  • Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Freiburg2026-10-18
  • Freiburg 3–3 Bayer Leverkusen2026-03-07

Match preview

Bayer Leverkusen host Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 26 October 2025. Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th on 56 points and Freiburg are 8th on 41. Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 of their last 5 (WDWWL), while Freiburg have won 2 of 5 (WWDDD). In their last 2 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, Freiburg won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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