Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg: Prediction
📍 BayArena
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 15'Philipp Lienhartyellow card
- ⚽Ernest Pokuassist Aleix García22'
- Aleix Garcíayellow card38'
- 46'⇄Junior Adamuon
- ⚽Edmond Tapsobaassist Alex Grimaldo52'
- ⇄Jonas Hofmannon67'
- ⇄Ezequiel Fernándezon67'
- 67'⇄Lukas Kübleron
- 67'⇄Johan Manzambion
- 74'Philipp Lienhartyellow card
- 74'Philipp Lienhartred card
- ⇄Jarell Quansahon77'
- ⇄Christian Kofaneon77'
- 77'⇄Derry Scherhanton
- ⇄Ernest Pokuon85'
- 85'⇄Lucas Höleron
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 69%Possession31%
- 1.71Expected goals (xG)0.72
- 19Shots10
- 4Shots on target3
- 2Corners3
- 9Fouls8
- 1Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards1
- 1Offsides0
- 3Saves2
- 758Passes335
Line-ups
Bayer Leverkusen
- 7Jonas Hofmann
- 20Alex Grimaldo
- 1Mark Flekken
- 12Edmond Tapsoba
- 5Loïc Badé
- 24Aleix García
- 4Jarell Quansah
- 19Ernest Poku
- 13Arthur
- 6Ezequiel Fernández
- 35Christian Kofane
Freiburg
- 28Matthias Ginter
- 8Maximilian Eggestein
- 3Philipp Lienhart
- 9Lucas Höler
- 17Lukas Kübler
- 20Junior Adamu
- 7Derry Scherhant
- 1Noah Atubolu
- 33Jordy Makengo Basambundu
- 29Philipp Treu
- 44Johan Manzambi
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | +16 | 56 | |
| 2 | 32 | -8 | 41 |
Head to head
- Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Freiburg2026-10-18
- Freiburg 3–3 Bayer Leverkusen2026-03-07
Match preview
Bayer Leverkusen host Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 26 October 2025. Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th on 56 points and Freiburg are 8th on 41. Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 of their last 5 (WDWWL), while Freiburg have won 2 of 5 (WWDDD). In their last 2 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, Freiburg won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

