FTMatchday 30

Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg: Prediction

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Bayer Leverkusen1

Augsburg2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Bayer LeverkusenAugsburg

Patrik Schickassist Edmond Tapsoba12'
15'Fabian Riederassist Dimitris Giannoulis
Jarell Quansahyellow card48'
52'Fabian Riederyellow card
60'Alexis Claude-Mauriceon
Lucas Vazquezon65'
Jarell Quansahon72'
74'Rodrigo Ribeiroon
Exequiel Palacioson81'
Nathan Tellaon81'
81'Robin Fellhaueron
82'Anton Kadeon
Aleix Garcíayellow card86'
90'Fabian Riederpenalty

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Bayer LeverkusenAugsburg

71%Possession29%
3.36Expected goals (xG)1.33
35Shots11
10Shots on target5
11Corners4
5Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides0
3Saves9
689Passes284

Line-ups

Bayer Leverkusen

21Lucas Vazquez
20Alex Grimaldo
14Patrik Schick
1Mark Flekken
25Exequiel Palacios
12Edmond Tapsoba
23Nathan Tella
5Loïc Badé
24Aleix García
4Jarell Quansah
30Ibrahim Maza

Augsburg

6Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
20Alexis Claude-Maurice
4Han-Noah Massengo
1Finn Dahmen
13Dimitris Giannoulis
16Cédric Zesiger
32Fabian Rieder
30Anton Kade
19Robin Fellhauer
21Rodrigo Ribeiro
34Arthur Chaves

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1487

Recent form

Bayer LeverkusenDDDWW

AugsburgLLLDD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bayer Leverkusen	32	+16	56
2	Augsburg	32	-16	40

Head to head

Augsburg 2–0 Bayer Leverkusen2025-12-06

Match preview

Bayer Leverkusen host Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 18 April 2026. Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th on 56 points and Augsburg are 9th on 40. Bayer Leverkusen have won 2 of their last 5 (DDDWW), while Augsburg have won 0 of 5 (LLLDD). In their last 1 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 0, Augsburg won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.