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FTMatchday 12

Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction

📍 BayArena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Bayer LeverkusenBorussia Dortmund
  1. 11'Nico Schlotterbeckyellow card
  2. Malik Tillmanyellow card30'
  3. Edmond Tapsobayellow card40'
  4. 41'Aarón Anselminoassist Daniel Svensson
  5. 54'Julian Ryersonyellow card
  6. 61'Sehrou Guirassyon
  7. Patrik Schickon63'
  8. 65'Karim Adeyemiassist Fábio Silva
  9. Jonas Hofmannon74'
  10. Malik Tillmanon74'
  11. 80'Julian Ryersonon
  12. 80'Karim Adeyemion
  13. 82'Fábio Silvayellow card
  14. Christian Kofaneassist Ibrahim Maza83'
  15. 88'Yan Coutoyellow card
  16. Robert Andrichon88'
  17. Ernest Pokuon88'
  18. Aleix Garcíayellow card90'
  19. 90'Felix Nmechaon
  20. 90'Julian Brandton

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Bayer LeverkusenBorussia Dortmund
  • 63%Possession37%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 14Shots7
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 10Corners3
  • 7Fouls9
  • 3Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides1
  • 2Saves3
  • 614Passes350

Line-ups

Bayer Leverkusen

  • 7Jonas Hofmann
  • 20Alex Grimaldo
  • 14Patrik Schick
  • 1Mark Flekken
  • 8Robert Andrich
  • 12Edmond Tapsoba
  • 5Loïc Badé
  • 24Aleix García
  • 10Malik Tillman
  • 30Ibrahim Maza
  • 19Ernest Poku

Borussia Dortmund

  • 10Julian Brandt
  • 20Marcel Sabitzer
  • 9Sehrou Guirassy
  • 4Nico Schlotterbeck
  • 26Julian Ryerson
  • 27Karim Adeyemi
  • 1Gregor Kobel
  • 3Waldemar Anton
  • 8Felix Nmecha
  • 24Daniel Svensson
  • 28Aarón Anselmino

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1538

Recent form

Bayer LeverkusenWLWWW
Borussia DortmundWWLDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Borussia Dortmund32+3671
2Bayer Leverkusen32+1656

Head to head

  • Borussia Dortmund 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen2026-04-11

Match preview

Bayer Leverkusen host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 29 November 2025. Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th on 56 points and Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 71. Bayer Leverkusen have won 4 of their last 5 (WLWWW), while Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of 5 (WWLDW). In their last 1 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, Borussia Dortmund won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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