FTMatchday 26

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich: Prediction

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Bayer Leverkusen1

Bayern Munich1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

Bayer LeverkusenBayern Munich

Aleix Garcíaassist Patrik Schick6'
32'Jonathan Tahyellow card
42'Nicolas Jacksonred card
Martin Terrieron46'
Ezequiel Fernándezyellow card56'
Patrik Schickon61'
61'Aleksandar Pavlovićon
61'Lennart Karlon
69'Luis Díazassist Michael Olise
Robert Andrichyellow card74'
74'Luis Díazyellow card
Aleix Garcíaon77'
Montrell Amare Culbreathon77'
84'Luis Díazyellow card
84'Luis Díazred card
Ernest Pokuon87'
88'Konrad Laimeron
89'Michael Oliseon
Edmond Tapsobayellow card90'
90'Sven Ulreichyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Bayer LeverkusenBayern Munich

45%Possession55%
2.61Expected goals (xG)1.29
20Shots11
6Shots on target5
4Corners1
12Fouls13
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards2
2Offsides1
4Saves6
496Passes635

Line-ups

Bayer Leverkusen

14Patrik Schick
8Robert Andrich
12Edmond Tapsoba
28Janis Blaswich
11Martin Terrier
24Aleix García
10Malik Tillman
4Jarell Quansah
19Ernest Poku
6Ezequiel Fernández
42Montrell Amare Culbreath

Bayern Munich

4Jonathan Tah
26Sven Ulreich
6Joshua Kimmich
2Dayot Upamecano
27Konrad Laimer
14Luis Díaz
17Michael Olise
44Josip Stanišić
11Nicolas Jackson
45Aleksandar Pavlović
42Lennart Karl

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1561

Recent form

Bayer LeverkusenDWDWD

Bayern MunichDWWWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	32	+85	85
2	Bayer Leverkusen	32	+16	56

Head to head

Bayern Munich 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen2025-11-01

Match preview

Bayer Leverkusen host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on 14 March 2026. Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th on 56 points and Bayern Munich are 1st on 85. Bayer Leverkusen have won 2 of their last 5 (DWDWD), while Bayern Munich have won 4 of 5 (DWWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 0, Bayern Munich won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.