Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg: Prediction
📍 BayArena
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Bayer LeverkusenWWWLL
AugsburgLDLDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | +2 | 12 |
| 2 | Augsburg | 7 | +3 | 8 |
Head to head
- Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 Augsburg2026-04-18
- Augsburg 2–0 Bayer Leverkusen2025-12-06
Why the model leans Bayer Leverkusen
- Bayer Leverkusen rate higher on our strength scale (1506 vs 1487).
- Bayer Leverkusen are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Bayer Leverkusen won 3 of their last 5.
- Augsburg won 0 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Bayer Leverkusen 0, Augsburg 2, draws 0.
Match preview
Bayer Leverkusen host Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 6 February 2027. Bayer Leverkusen sit 7th on 12 points and Augsburg are 12th on 8. Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWLL), while Augsburg have won 0 of 5 (LDLDL). In their last 2 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 0, Augsburg won 2 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Bayer Leverkusen 56%, the draw 22% and Augsburg 22%, so Bayer Leverkusen are the slight favourites, with 2-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
