Kick-off · Sun, 22 Nov, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 13
Barcelona vs Villarreal: Prediction
Barcelona66%Home win
Villarreal66% Home win20% Draw14% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.06 – 0.82
Team rating (Elo)1525 – 1468
Recent form
BarcelonaWWWLLVillarrealWDLWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Villarreal | 10 | 0 | 11 |
Head to head
- Villarreal 0–2 Barcelona2025-12-21
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
