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FTMatchday 4

Barcelona vs Valencia: Prediction

📍 Estadi Johan Cruyff

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

6 goals
BarcelonaValencia
  1. Fermínassist Ferran Torres29'
  2. 41'Mouctar Diakhabyyellow card
  3. Roony Bardghjion46'
  4. Raphinhaassist Marcus Rashford53'
  5. Fermínassist Marc Casadó56'
  6. 57'Arnaut Danjumaon
  7. 57'Javi Guerraon
  8. 57'Diego Lópezon
  9. 65'Mouctar Diakhabyon
  10. Raphinha66'
  11. Ferran Torreson68'
  12. Marcus Rashfordon68'
  13. Gerard Martínon74'
  14. Robert Lewandowskiassist Dani Olmo76'
  15. 77'Hugo Duroon
  16. Pedrion81'
  17. Robert Lewandowskiassist Marc Bernal86'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BarcelonaValencia
  • 72%Possession28%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)0
  • 24Shots2
  • 10Shots on target1
  • 5Corners4
  • 9Fouls8
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Offsides4
  • 1Saves5
  • 677Passes249

Line-ups

Barcelona

  • 14Marcus Rashford
  • 7Ferran Torres
  • 23Jules Koundé
  • 24Eric García
  • 8Pedri
  • 13Joan García
  • 28Roony Bardghji
  • 18Gerard Martín
  • 16Fermín
  • 17Marc Casadó
  • 5Pau Cubarsí

Valencia

  • 20Dimitri Foulquier
  • 14Jose Luis Gaya
  • 4Mouctar Diakhaby
  • 7Arnaut Danjuma
  • 22Baptiste Santamaria
  • 9Hugo Duro
  • 25Julen Agirrezabala
  • 16Diego López
  • 3José Copete
  • 8Javi Guerra
  • 5César Tárrega Requeni

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1540 – 1467

Recent form

BarcelonaWD
ValenciaDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona35+5185
2Valencia35-1043

Head to head

  • Valencia 0–5 Barcelona2026-09-06
  • Valencia 3–1 Barcelona2026-05-23

Match preview

Barcelona host Valencia in the La Liga on 14 September 2025. Barcelona sit 1st on 85 points and Valencia are 10th on 43. Barcelona have won 1 of their last 2 (WD), while Valencia have won 1 of 2 (DW). In their last 2 meetings, Barcelona won 1, Valencia won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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