FTMatchday 21

Barcelona vs Real Oviedo: Prediction

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Barcelona3

Real Oviedo0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

BarcelonaReal Oviedo

Gerard Martínyellow card9'
33'Aarón Escandellyellow card
43'David Costasyellow card
Gerard Martínon46'
Dani Olmo52'
Raphinha57'
João Canceloon60'
Raphinhaon60'
66'Lucas Ahijadoon
66'Alberto Reinaon
Lamine Yamalassist Dani Olmo73'
Dani Olmoon75'
Lamine Yamalon79'
82'Santiago Colombattoon
82'Federico Viñason
82'Haissem Hassanon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BarcelonaReal Oviedo

73%Possession27%
2.09Expected goals (xG)0.48
15Shots12
7Shots on target3
10Corners1
8Fouls21
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Offsides4
3Saves4
678Passes252

Line-ups

Barcelona

9Robert Lewandowski
2João Cancelo
11Raphinha
21Frenkie de Jong
20Dani Olmo
24Eric García
13Joan García
10Lamine Yamal
18Gerard Martín
17Marc Casadó
5Pau Cubarsí

Real Oviedo

4David Costas
25Javi López
11Santiago Colombatto
13Aarón Escandell
16David Carmo
10Haissem Hassan
24Lucas Ahijado
9Federico Viñas
7Ilyas Chaira
5Alberto Reina
6Kwasi Sibo

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1540 – 1427

Recent form

BarcelonaWWWWL

Real OviedoLDDDL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	35	+51	85
2	Real Oviedo	35	-30	28

Head to head

Real Oviedo 1–3 Barcelona2025-09-25

Match preview

Barcelona host Real Oviedo in the La Liga on 25 January 2026. Barcelona sit 1st on 85 points and Real Oviedo are 20th on 28. Barcelona have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWL), while Real Oviedo have won 0 of 5 (LDDDL). In their last 1 meetings, Barcelona won 1, Real Oviedo won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.