Barcelona vs Real Madrid: Prediction
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Match events
2 goals- ⚽Marcus Rashford9'
- ⚽Ferran Torresassist Dani Olmo18'
- 40'Eduardo Camavingayellow card
- Dani Olmoyellow card52'
- 52'Raúl Asencioyellow card
- 55'Jude Bellinghamyellow card
- ⇄Dani Olmoon64'
- ⇄Marcus Rashfordon64'
- 70'⇄Eduardo Camavingaon
- ⇄Ferran Torreson77'
- ⇄Gavion77'
- 79'⇄Brahimon
- 79'⇄Gonzalo Garcíaon
- Raphinhayellow card81'
- 81'Trent Alexander-Arnoldyellow card
- ⇄Fermín Lópezon88'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 57%Possession43%
- 0.99Expected goals (xG)0.79
- 10Shots8
- 7Shots on target1
- 4Corners8
- 18Fouls9
- 2Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides1
- 1Saves5
- 527Passes394
Line-ups
Barcelona
- 2João Cancelo
- 14Marcus Rashford
- 7Ferran Torres
- 20Dani Olmo
- 24Eric García
- 8Pedri
- 6Gavi
- 13Joan García
- 18Gerard Martín
- 16Fermín López
- 5Pau Cubarsí
Real Madrid
- 1Thibaut Courtois
- 22Antonio Rudiger
- 7Vinícius Júnior
- 12Trent Alexander-Arnold
- 21Brahim
- 14Aurelien Tchouameni
- 5Jude Bellingham
- 6Eduardo Camavinga
- 20Fran García
- 24Dean Huijsen
- 17Raúl Asencio
- 16Gonzalo García
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
BarcelonaWWWWW
Real MadridLDWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 35 | +51 | 85 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 35 | +40 | 82 |
Head to head
- Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid2026-10-25
- Real Madrid 2–1 Barcelona2025-10-26
Match preview
Barcelona host Real Madrid in the La Liga on 10 May 2026. Barcelona sit 1st on 85 points and Real Madrid are 2nd on 82. Barcelona have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Real Madrid have won 2 of 5 (LDWDW). In their last 2 meetings, Barcelona won 0, Real Madrid won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
