Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 3

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1525 – 1502

Recent form

BarcelonaWLWLW
Rayo VallecanoDDWWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona10+3227
2Rayo Vallecano9-412

Head to head

  • Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano2026-03-22
  • Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Barcelona2025-08-31

Match preview

Barcelona host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on 31 August 2026. Barcelona sit 1st on 27 points and Rayo Vallecano are 9th on 12. Barcelona have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWLW), while Rayo Vallecano have won 2 of 5 (DDWWD). In their last 2 meetings, Barcelona won 1, Rayo Vallecano won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming